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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2023 Aug 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 237 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Aug 2023IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
25/0109Z from Region 3415 (S09E35). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (26
Aug, 27 Aug, 28 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 509 km/s at 24/2221Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 24/2129Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
24/2230Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 190 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (26 Aug), quiet to active levels on day
two (27 Aug) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (28 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Aug 139 Previsto 26 Aug-28 Aug 140/138/140 Media de 90 Días 25 Aug 165
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug 005/005-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.1 -4.9 |
| Last 30 days | 122.3 +12.7 |