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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jun 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jun 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at
12/1307Z from Region 3713 (S12E67). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 Jun, 14 Jun,
15 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 380 km/s at 12/0550Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
12/0215Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
12/1208Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 9 pfu at 12/0520Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 Jun, 14 Jun, 15
Jun). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on day one (13 Jun) and have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on day two (14 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jun a 15 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 20% | 10% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jun 165 Previsto 13 Jun-15 Jun 165/160/155 Media de 90 Días 12 Jun 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jun 013/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun 005/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jun a 15 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 12/12/2025 | M1.1 |
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