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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jul 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 207 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jul 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
25/1537Z from Region 3751 (S08W84). There are currently 11 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(26 Jul, 27 Jul, 28 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 468 km/s at 25/1445Z. Total IMF reached 16
nT at 25/2100Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -13 nT at
25/2100Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (26 Jul), quiet to minor
storm levels on day two (27 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (28 Jul). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (26 Jul, 27 Jul, 28 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Jul 167 Previsto 26 Jul-28 Jul 170/170/165 Media de 90 Días 25 Jul 186
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jul 008/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Jul 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul 011/012-014/018-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jul a 28 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 65% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 19/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
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