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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Jul 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 208 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jul 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at
26/0442Z from Region 3761 (S09W86). There are currently 10 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(27 Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 612 km/s at 26/0536Z. Total IMF
reached 20 nT at 25/2328Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-13 nT at 25/2110Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 106 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (27 Jul), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (28 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day
three (29 Jul). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (27 Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jul a 29 Jul
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jul 176 Previsto 27 Jul-29 Jul 170/165/165 Media de 90 Días 26 Jul 186
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jul 009/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jul 019/026 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jul-29 Jul 014/018-007/008-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jul a 29 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 25% | 50% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| febrero 2026 | 78.2 -34.3 |
| marzo 2026 | 75 -3.2 |
| Last 30 days | 56.5 -68.4 |