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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2024 Aug 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2024IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M5 event observed at
23/2012Z from Region 3800 (S28E17). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(24 Aug, 25 Aug, 26 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 401 km/s at 23/0110Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 23/0355Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at
23/0525Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 127 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (24 Aug, 25 Aug, 26
Aug). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (24 Aug, 25 Aug, 26 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Aug 242 Previsto 24 Aug-26 Aug 245/250/260 Media de 90 Días 23 Aug 206
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 011/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 006/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 119.3 -4.7 |
| Last 30 days | 119.6 +1.6 |