Viendo archivo del martes, 14 enero 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Jan 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 14 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jan 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at
14/1527Z from Region 3962 (N17E82). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (15 Jan, 16 Jan,
17 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 527 km/s at 14/1716Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 14/1750Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
14/1724Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 402 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (15 Jan, 17
Jan) and quiet levels on day two (16 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jan a 17 Jan
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Jan 166 Previsto 15 Jan-17 Jan 170/175/180 Media de 90 Días 14 Jan 198
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jan 009/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Jan 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 009/010-007/006-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jan a 17 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Últimas noticias
miércoles, 13 mayo 2026
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Últimos mensajes del foro
Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 387Coronal Hole 53 101Unspecified geomagnetic activity 253Current Farside Activity 562SWPC Display bug or other issues 40
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 90.4 +11.1 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +8.3 |
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