Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 febrero 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Feb 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 43 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Feb 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
12/1247Z from Region 3992 (S06W11). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 Feb, 14 Feb,
15 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to active levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 596 km/s at 12/0038Z. Total IMF
reached 7 nT at 12/0410Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-5 nT at 12/0602Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 2050 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (13 Feb), quiet to
active levels on day two (14 Feb) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (15 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Feb 166 Previsto 13 Feb-15 Feb 165/165/165 Media de 90 Días 12 Feb 191
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Feb 010/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Feb 016/019 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Feb-15 Feb 017/020-012/015-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 55% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/06/2026 | X1.0 |
| Último evento clase M | 20/06/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 11/06/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| mayo 2026 | 101.4 +22.1 |
| junio 2026 | 102.1 +0.7 |
| Last 30 days | 107.9 +9.7 |
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