Viendo archivo del martes, 11 marzo 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 70 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Mar 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (12 Mar, 13 Mar,
14 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 548 km/s at 10/2144Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 11/2033Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
11/1236Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 4109 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (12 Mar) and unsettled to
active levels on days two and three (13 Mar, 14 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Mar a 14 Mar
| Clase M | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Mar 161 Previsto 12 Mar-14 Mar 165/165/170 Media de 90 Días 11 Mar 188
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Mar 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Mar 009/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Mar-14 Mar 007/010-012/015-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Mar a 14 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 45% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 22/05/2026 | M2.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 87.6 +8.3 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +9.1 |
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