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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Mar 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 62 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Mar 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
03/1647Z from Region 4012 (S13E47). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (04 Mar, 05 Mar,
06 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 535 km/s at 03/0909Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
03/1146Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
03/0311Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1133 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (04 Mar, 05
Mar) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (06 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Mar a 06 Mar
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Mar 145 Previsto 04 Mar-06 Mar 140/140/150 Media de 90 Días 03 Mar 189
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Mar 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Mar 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Mar-06 Mar 014/018-019/025-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Mar a 06 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 65% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 89.2 +9.9 |
| Last 30 days | 99.3 +7.6 |
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