Viendo archivo del sábado, 30 agosto 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Aug 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Aug 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(31 Aug, 01 Sep, 02 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 433 km/s at 30/0950Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
30/2044Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
30/0802Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2 pfu at 30/0100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 363 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (31 Aug, 01 Sep)
and quiet levels on day three (02 Sep). Protons have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on day one (31 Aug), have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on day two (01 Sep) and have a slight chance of crossing
threshold on day three (02 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Protón | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Aug 317 Previsto 31 Aug-02 Sep 220/215/210 Media de 90 Días 30 Aug 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Aug 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Aug 006/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep 007/010-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 21/01/2026 | Kp7+ (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 110 -14 |
| Last 30 days | 114.8 +6.7 |