Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 septiembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Sep 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 270 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Sep 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate on
days one, two, and three (28 Sep, 29 Sep, 30 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 434 km/s at 26/2115Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 27/2058Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
27/1857Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1723 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (28 Sep, 29 Sep) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (30 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Sep a 30 Sep
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Sep 164 Previsto 28 Sep-30 Sep 165/160/160 Media de 90 Días 27 Sep 149
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Sep 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Sep 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Sep-30 Sep 013/018-011/014-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Sep a 30 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 40% | 35% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 29/05/2026 | M1.1 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 99.1 +19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 99.1 +7.5 |
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