Viendo archivo del miércoles, 12 noviembre 2025
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Nov 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 316 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Nov 2025IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be high on
days one, two, and three (13 Nov, 14 Nov, 15 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to severe storm levels for the past 24
hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 969 km/s at 12/1946Z. Total
IMF reached 61 nT at 12/0036Z. The maximum southward component of Bz
reached -55 nT at 11/2357Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1456 pfu at 12/0215Z.
Protons greater than 100 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak
level of 37 pfu at 12/0150Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit appeared to be contaminated.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to severe storm levels on day one (13 Nov), unsettled to
minor storm levels on day two (14 Nov) and quiet to unsettled levels on
day three (15 Nov). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one
(13 Nov), are expected to cross threshold on day two (14 Nov) and are
likely to cross threshold on day three (15 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Nov a 15 Nov
| Clase M | 85% | 85% | 85% |
| Clase X | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Protón | 99% | 75% | 55% |
| PCAF | red | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Nov 163 Previsto 13 Nov-15 Nov 160/160/155 Media de 90 Días 12 Nov 152
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Nov 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Nov 113/144 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Nov-15 Nov 059/097-016/022-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Nov a 15 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 25% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 01% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 90% | 55% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 92.2 +12.9 |
| Last 30 days | 97 +6.4 |
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