Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 diciembre 2025

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 27 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 361 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Dec 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (28 Dec, 29 Dec, 30 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed slowly decreasing from about 500 km/s to 460 km/s levels. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 27/1930Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 27/1841Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6,123 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (28 Dec, 29 Dec, 30 Dec). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (28 Dec) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days two and three (29 Dec, 30 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Dec a 30 Dec
Clase M65%65%65%
Clase X20%20%20%
Protón15%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       27 Dec 178
  Previsto   28 Dec-30 Dec 175/170/160
  Media de 90 Días        27 Dec 146

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 26 Dec  006/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 27 Dec  007/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 28 Dec-30 Dec  005/005-006/005-005/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Dec a 30 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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