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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2025 Dec 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 362 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Dec 2025

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (29 Dec, 30 Dec, 31 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 604 km/s at 28/1526Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 28/0913Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 28/0901Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 8999 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (29 Dec, 30 Dec, 31 Dec). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (29 Dec, 30 Dec, 31 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Dec a 31 Dec
Clase M45%45%45%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Dec 188
  Previsto   29 Dec-31 Dec 185/175/170
  Media de 90 Días        28 Dec 146

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Dec  005/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Dec  006/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Dec-31 Dec  006/005-005/005-007/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Dec a 31 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%30%

All times in UTC

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