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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 23 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Jan 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(24 Jan, 25 Jan, 26 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at active to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 621 km/s at 23/1704Z. Total IMF
reached 10 nT at 22/2205Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-7 nT at 23/0057Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 5 pfu at 22/2225Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3391 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (24 Jan), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (25 Jan) and quiet levels on day three (26
Jan). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (24 Jan, 25 Jan, 26 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Jan a 26 Jan
| Clase M | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Jan 180 Previsto 24 Jan-26 Jan 185/190/185 Media de 90 Días 23 Jan 148
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Jan 015/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Jan 021/030 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Jan-26 Jan 014/018-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Jan a 26 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 25% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 18/01/2026 | X1.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 21/01/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 118.7 -5.3 |
| Last 30 days | 120.4 +5.6 |