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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 6 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jan 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (07 Jan, 08 Jan, 09 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 424 km/s at 05/2118Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
05/2249Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
06/0257Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1326 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (07 Jan, 08 Jan) and quiet to
minor storm levels on day three (09 Jan). Protons have a slight chance
of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (07 Jan, 08 Jan, 09
Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jan a 09 Jan
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Jan 145 Previsto 07 Jan-09 Jan 140/135/132 Media de 90 Días 06 Jan 148
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jan 010/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Jan 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan 006/005-006/005-015/024
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jan a 09 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 05/02/2026 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
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