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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 Jan 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 22 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jan 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 12 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(23 Jan, 24 Jan, 25 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 679 km/s at 22/0011Z. Total IMF reached 11
nT at 22/1514Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
22/2053Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 10 pfu at 22/0505Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 5365 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (23 Jan) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (24 Jan, 25 Jan). Protons have a
slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (23 Jan,
24 Jan, 25 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jan 194 Previsto 23 Jan-25 Jan 192/192/190 Media de 90 Días 22 Jan 148
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jan 045/073 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jan 012/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jan-25 Jan 011/012-009/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 45% | 30% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.3 |
| Último evento clase M | 09/02/2026 | M2.8 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 05/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 132.1 +19.5 |
| Last 30 days | 128.6 +27.4 |