Viendo archivo del jueves, 14 mayo 2026
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2026 May 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 134 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 May 2026IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (15 May, 16 May,
17 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 496 km/s at 14/0705Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 13/2102Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
13/2338Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 316 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to major storm levels on day one (15 May) and unsettled
to minor storm levels on days two and three (16 May, 17 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 May a 17 May
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 May 106 Previsto 15 May-17 May 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 14 May 125
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 May 009/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 May 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 May-17 May 022/030-018/024-016/019
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 May a 17 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 75% | 65% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 24/04/2026 | X2.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 17/05/2026 | M1.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 16/05/2026 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (2%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| mayo 2026 | 92.2 +12.9 |
| Last 30 days | 99.2 +8.8 |
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