Viewing archive of Sunday, 14 July 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Jul 14 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 196 Issued at 2200Z on 14 JUL 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 X-RAY FLARE OCCURRED AT 14/1500Z. THIS FLARE IS BELIEVED TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH REGION 7978, WHICH RECENTLY ROTATED BEYOND THE WEST LIMB, BY EVIDENCE OF A TIME-COINCIDENT BRIGHT SURGE NEAR S13W90. THERE ARE NOW NO NUMBERED REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE SOLAR DISK.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 15 JUL to 17 JUL
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       14 JUL  068
  Predicted   15 JUL-17 JUL  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        14 JUL  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 13 JUL  009/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 JUL  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 JUL-17 JUL  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 JUL to 17 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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