Viewing archive of Sunday, 8 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 343 Issued at 2200Z on 08 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO FLARES
NOTED ON THE VISIBLE DISK. REGION 8003 (S30E10) IS THE ONLY
SPOTTED REGION VISIBLE AND APPEARS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN VERY LOW. REGION 8003 HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL
C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET FOR THE PAST QUIET TO UNSETTLED
FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 09 DEC to 11 DEC
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 DEC 069 Predicted 09 DEC-11 DEC 070/070/072 90 Day Mean 08 DEC 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 DEC 005/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 DEC 003/003 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 DEC-11 DEC 010/010-015/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 DEC to 11 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 35% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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