Viewing archive of Saturday, 11 January 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 11 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 011 Issued at 2200Z on 11 JAN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 12 JAN to 14 JAN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       11 JAN 074
  Predicted   12 JAN-14 JAN  074/074/074
  90 Day Mean        11 JAN 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 10 JAN  021/031
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 JAN  016/013
PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 JAN-14 JAN  010/015-010/012-005/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 JAN to 14 JAN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%05%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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