Viewing archive of Thursday, 26 February 2004
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2004 Feb 26 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 057 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Feb 2004IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z Solar activity increased to high levels. Region 564
(N14W27) produced an X1/2n major flare which occurred at 26/0203Z.
There was no indication of a CME in association with this flare on
LASCO imagery. Multiple B and C-class flares were observed
throughout the period. Many intermediate sunspots merged into a
single large penumbral magnetic delta complex. This region has
shown steady growth throughout the day. Region 565 (S05W07)
decreased in areal sunspot coverage although penumbra is now visible
in both polarities. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at
moderate levels. Region 564 has the potential to produce isolated
major flare activity.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels. 29
February may experience active conditions due to a recurrent high
speed coronal hole stream.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Feb to 29 Feb
| Class M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Class X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Proton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Feb 121 Predicted 27 Feb-29 Feb 125/130/130 90 Day Mean 26 Feb 113
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Feb 003/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Feb 004/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Feb-29 Feb 008/012-008/012-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Feb to 29 Feb
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Sunday, 7 December 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Monday, 1 December 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
Friday, 14 November 2025
X4.0 solar flare
Latest forum messages
AR 4299 112AR4299 M8.1 CME 2025/12/06 83AR4294 / 4296 / 4298 371New paper on the Gannon Storm 10-11 May 2024 2Electron event 10
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/12/01 | X1.9 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/12/08 | M2.0 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/12/04 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| November 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| December 2025 | 167.7 +75.9 |
| Last 30 days | 107.1 +12.4 |