Viewing archive of Friday, 17 August 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Aug 17 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 229 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Aug 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16-2100Z to 17-2100Z

Solar activity continues at very low levels. There was no significant activity observed this period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16-2100Z to 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed decreased to less than 400 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. A coronal hole is expected to result in occasional unsettled periods on 19 Aug.
III. Event Probabilities 18 Aug to 20 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       17 Aug 068
  Predicted   18 Aug-20 Aug  065/065/070
  90 Day Mean        17 Aug 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 16 Aug  006/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 17 Aug  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 18 Aug-20 Aug  005/005-008/012-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Aug to 20 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%15%
Minor storm01%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%25%20%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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