Viewing archive of Friday, 24 August 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Aug 24 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 236 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Aug 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. Region 969 (S05E35) produced an impulsive C2/Sn event at 24/0754 UTC.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Region 969 could possibly produce an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods. The increase in activity is expected in response to a recurrent coronal hole.
III. Event Probabilities 25 Aug to 27 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Aug 072
  Predicted   25 Aug-27 Aug  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        24 Aug 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Aug  001/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Aug  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Aug-27 Aug  010/015-010/015-008/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Aug to 27 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%20%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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