Viewing archive of Wednesday, 24 September 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Sep 24 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 268 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Sep 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. Region 1002 (N26W53) is spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hour.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (25-27 September).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Sep to 27 Sep
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Sep 068
  Predicted   25 Sep-27 Sep  069/069/067
  90 Day Mean        24 Sep 066
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Sep  002/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Sep  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Sep to 27 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active01%01%01%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active01%01%01%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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