Viewing archive of Monday, 1 December 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Dec 01 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 336 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Dec 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels at all latitudes.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (02 - 03 December). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (04 December) as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream begins to disturb the field.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Dec to 04 Dec
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Dec 068
  Predicted   02 Dec-04 Dec  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        01 Dec 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 30 Nov  001/001
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Dec  000/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Dec-04 Dec  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Dec to 04 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%15%
Minor storm01%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%25%
Minor storm01%01%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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