Viewing archive of Friday, 26 June 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Jun 26 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 177 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jun 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. The solar disk was void of spots.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the first day (27 June). An increase to unsettled levels with a chance for active periods is expected on the second day (28 June) due to a favorably positioned coronal hole. Conditions are expected to be quiet on the third day (29 June).
III. Event Probabilities 27 Jun to 29 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Jun 067
  Predicted   27 Jun-29 Jun  067/067/067
  90 Day Mean        26 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jun  006/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Jun  003/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun  005/005-008/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jun to 29 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%25%05%
Minor storm01%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%30%05%
Minor storm01%15%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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