Viewing archive of Thursday, 14 February 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Feb 14 1218 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 14 Feb 2013 until 16 Feb 2013
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
14 Feb 2013095008
15 Feb 2013092001
16 Feb 2013090001

Bulletin

Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next 48 hours, with a low probability of an isolated C flare from NOAA AR 1670. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet for the next 48 hours. On Feb.13, unsettled to active conditions were observed locally (Dourbes, K=4) from 18 to 21 UT and at planetary level (Kp=4) from 21 to 24 UT. This corresponds to a short period of Bz excursions close to -10 nT in the same time period. The source of such (modest) activity is unclear at the moment.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 021, based on 08 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Feb 2013

Wolf number Catania093
10cm solar flux100
AK Chambon La Forêt027
AK Wingst016
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number025 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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