Issued: 2013 Jun 15 1146 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun 2013 | 115 | 008 |
| 16 Jun 2013 | 117 | 007 |
| 17 Jun 2013 | 120 | 007 |
Solar activity was moderate during the last 24 hours. A C1 flare took place in NOAA AR 1771, close to the East limb on June 15, peaking at 0400 UT. It was a long duration event linked to a CME as witness by SDO/AIA observations (there is a data gap in LASCO observations). There is no risk of geomagnetic consequences. We expect at most isolated C flares from the following ARs: AR 1768, AR 1769, and to a lesser extent AR 1772, 1770 and 1771. We expect essentially quiet geomagnetic conditions for the next 48 hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 066, based on 08 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 074 |
| 10cm solar flux | 109 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| Estimated Ap | 003 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 043 - Based on 18 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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