Issued: 2013 Jul 24 1309 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2013 | 109 | 007 |
| 25 Jul 2013 | 112 | 018 |
| 26 Jul 2013 | 115 | 005 |
Six sunspot groups are reported by Catania today. One of them (Catania number 35, NOAA AR 1800) has beta-gamma configuration of the photospheric magnetic field. We expect flaring activity on the C-level, although the last C-class flare took place on July 21 and only B-class flares are reported during the last days. The Earth is currently inside the slow (around 350 km/s) solar wind flow with weak to average (3-4 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours. Tomorrow we expect the arrival of the fast flow from the equatorial coronal hole, possibly resulting in active geomagnetic conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 044, based on 11 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 090 |
| 10cm solar flux | 107 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
| AK Wingst | 006 |
| Estimated Ap | 005 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 054 - Based on 22 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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