Viewing archive of Thursday, 3 October 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2013 Oct 03 2029 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Proton event in progress (>10 MeV)

	10cm flux	Ap
03 Oct 2013	108	008
04 Oct 2013	108	007
05 Oct 2013	108	007

Bulletin

A long duration C1.5-flare occurred yesterday evening (Oct 2, 23:29 UT) from behind the Solar North-West limb. The event triggered a CME, which is not Earth directed. We forecast a 50% chance for continued C-class flaring, this time from NOAA AR 1855 and AR 1856. The proton flux levels have dropped below event threshold. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 047, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 02 Oct 2013

Wolf number Catania	059
10cm solar flux	108
AK Chambon La Forêt	045
AK Wingst	048
Estimated Ap	050
Estimated international sunspot number	044 - Based on 17 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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