Issued: 2014 Nov 30 1226 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2014 | 178 | 006 |
| 01 Dec 2014 | 176 | 006 |
| 02 Dec 2014 | 178 | 005 |
NOAA 2222 produced 3 C-class flares over the last 24 hours, NOAA 2221 and 2219 each 2. The latter group was also the source of the strongest event, a C6.5 flare peaking at 13:49UT. These three groups have all some mixed magnetic polarities. The other groups were quiet. C-class flaring is expected, with a small chance on low-level M-class flares. CACTus reported two wide angle CMEs. The first wide CME (94 degrees) became visible in LASCO/C2 on 28 November at 22:00UT, and may be related to the filament eruption earlier that day. The other wide CME (110 degrees) was first observed on 29 November at 00:12UT. However, this seems to be a superposition of at least 2 separate CMEs, with the part first visible at 02:24UT related to a prominence eruption around 02:00UT at the northeast limb. None of the observed CMEs has an Earth-directed component. Solar wind speed was stable between 360 and 430 km/s. The IMF is directed towards the Sun, with Bz mostly positive varying between 0 and +10 nT, and an occasional negative excursion to -7 nT. The geomagnetic field was quiet (K<3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 101, based on 05 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 177 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| Estimated Ap | 003 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 118 - Based on 21 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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