Viewing archive of Monday, 16 February 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Feb 16 1229 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Solar flares

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
16 Feb 2015	120	006
17 Feb 2015	125	007
18 Feb 2015	130	007

Bulletin

The solar activity during the past 24 hours was low. The background of the X-ray flux is at the B-level for almost a week now. The active regions (AR) NOAA 2282, 2284 and 2285 were relatively stable and did not produce any significant flares. A new -still to be numbered- region is rounding the East limb (N15) and is a candidate to produce some C-flaring. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Nominal solar wind conditions are observed with a low solar wind speed near 350 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude ranges between 5 and 10 nT with a fluctuating, but mainly positive Bz component. A sector boundary crossing from negative to positive occurred near 9h30 UT 16 February, accompanied by a small jump (from 6 to 10 nT) in the IMF magnitude. Quiet solar wind conditions are expected to persist. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled, both at the local level (at Dourbes) and global level (estimated NOAA Kp) and are expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 035, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 15 Feb 2015

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	120
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	007
Estimated Ap	006
Estimated international sunspot number	046 - Based on 19 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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