Issued: 2015 Jun 04 1231 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun 2015 | 114 | 005 |
| 05 Jun 2015 | 119 | 005 |
| 06 Jun 2015 | 124 | 006 |
The strongest flare of the past 24 hours was the C8.1 flare peaking today at 09:47 UT in the Catania sunspot group 80 at the north-east limb (no NOAA AR number yet). SDO/AIA data show the associated coronal dimming indicating the eruption of a CME, although no LASCO data is available to confirm it at the moment of writing. Due to the limb position of the CME source region, we do not expect it to arrive at the Earth and have geomagnetic consequences. We expect flaring activity to remain at the C-level with a small chance for an M-class flare. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 270 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 058, based on 19 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 047 |
| 10cm solar flux | 109 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| Estimated Ap | 004 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 036 - Based on 30 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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