Viewing archive of Tuesday, 3 November 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Nov 03 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (04
Nov, 05 Nov, 06 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 395 km/s at 03/0424Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
03/1051Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
03/0932Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 637 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (04 Nov, 05 Nov) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (06 Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Nov to 06 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Nov 083 Predicted 04 Nov-06 Nov 083/083/083 90 Day Mean 03 Nov 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov 002/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov 003/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov 006/005-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov to 06 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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