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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2021 Apr 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 98 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Apr 2021

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (09 Apr, 10 Apr, 11 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 506 km/s at 08/0508Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 07/2136Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at 07/2124Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 132 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (09 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (10 Apr, 11 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Apr to 11 Apr
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 Apr 074
  Predicted   09 Apr-11 Apr 074/074/074
  90 Day Mean        08 Apr 076

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 Apr  015/019
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 Apr  004/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr  006/005-008/010-008/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Apr to 11 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%25%25%
Minor storm01%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%20%20%
Minor storm20%30%30%
Major-severe storm10%30%30%

All times in UTC

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