Viewing archive of Wednesday, 4 June 2025
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Jun 04 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 155 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jun 2025IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on
days one, two, and three (05 Jun, 06 Jun, 07 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 834 km/s at 04/1826Z. Total IMF
reached 15 nT at 04/1356Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-12 nT at 04/1445Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 3973 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (05 Jun), quiet to
active levels on day two (06 Jun) and quiet to minor storm levels on day
three (07 Jun). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on
days one, two, and three (05 Jun, 06 Jun, 07 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Jun to 07 Jun
| Class M | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jun 134 Predicted 05 Jun-07 Jun 135/130/125 90 Day Mean 04 Jun 153
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jun 032/ 058 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jun 017/027 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun 024/033-014/015-014/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jun to 07 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Minor storm | 35% | 15% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 01% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 75% | 50% | 60% |
All times in UTC
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Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2026/04/24 | X2.5 |
| Last M-flare | 2026/05/29 | M1.1 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2026/05/16 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 days |
| 2026 | 3 days (2%) |
| Last spotless day | 2026/02/24 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| April 2026 | 79.3 -6.6 |
| May 2026 | 97.9 +18.6 |
| Last 30 days | 97.9 +5 |
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