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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Jun 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 158 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jun 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (08 Jun, 09 Jun, 10 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 463 km/s at 07/1717Z. Total IMF reached 15 nT at 07/2057Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 07/1855Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2808 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (08 Jun, 09 Jun) and quiet to active levels on day three (10 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jun to 10 Jun
Class M30%35%35%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Jun 121
  Predicted   08 Jun-10 Jun 120/125/125
  90 Day Mean        07 Jun 152

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jun  008/ 008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Jun  016/020
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun  015/020-018/022-010/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jun to 10 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active35%40%30%
Minor storm25%25%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%15%
Minor storm25%25%30%
Major-severe storm60%65%40%

All times in UTC

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