Viewing archive of Wednesday, 11 June 2025

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Jun 11 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jun 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (12 Jun, 13 Jun, 14 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 495 km/s at 11/1741Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 11/1623Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at 11/1611Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 848 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (12 Jun), quiet to active levels on day two (13 Jun) and unsettled to major storm levels on day three (14 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 12 Jun to 14 Jun
Class M40%40%40%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       11 Jun 141
  Predicted   12 Jun-14 Jun 120/120/120
  90 Day Mean        11 Jun 151

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jun  011/ NA
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 11 Jun  011/014
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun  008/008-011/015-024/032

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jun to 14 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%40%30%
Minor storm05%20%40%
Major-severe storm01%05%25%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%05%
Minor storm25%30%20%
Major-severe storm25%55%75%

All times in UTC

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