Viewing archive of Tuesday, 24 June 2025

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Jun 24 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jun 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Jun, 26 Jun, 27 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 480 km/s at 24/1922Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 24/1600Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 24/1706Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1366 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (25 Jun), unsettled to minor storm levels on day two (26 Jun) and quiet to active levels on day three (27 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Jun to 27 Jun
Class M30%30%35%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Jun 120
  Predicted   25 Jun-27 Jun 120/125/130
  90 Day Mean        24 Jun 146

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jun  009/ 008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Jun  008/011
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun  028/040-021/026-013/015

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jun to 27 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%35%30%
Minor storm35%25%15%
Major-severe storm25%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%10%
Minor storm20%25%25%
Major-severe storm80%55%45%

All times in UTC

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