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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Jun 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 180 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jun 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (30 Jun, 01 Jul, 02 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 697 km/s at 29/0652Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 29/1824Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 29/1629Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6349 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (30 Jun, 01 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day three (02 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jun to 02 Jul
Class M25%25%25%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Jun 128
  Predicted   30 Jun-02 Jul 123/120/117
  90 Day Mean        29 Jun 143

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jun  008/008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Jun  007/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul  005/005-005/005-008/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jun to 02 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%20%
Minor storm01%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%20%
Minor storm20%20%25%
Major-severe storm10%20%25%

All times in UTC

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