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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Jul 06 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jul 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low on days one, two, and three (07 Jul, 08 Jul, 09 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 510 km/s at 06/0708Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at 05/2104Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at 06/1014Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 317 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (07 Jul, 08 Jul) and quiet levels on day three (09 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Jul to 09 Jul
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Jul 118
  Predicted   07 Jul-09 Jul 115/113/111
  90 Day Mean        06 Jul 139

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jul  020/020
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Jul  014/019
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul  009/010-008/008-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jul to 09 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%10%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%20%
Minor storm25%25%20%
Major-severe storm30%25%10%

All times in UTC

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