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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Apr 01 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 91 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Apr 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (02 Apr, 03 Apr, 04 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 511 km/s at 01/1138Z. Total IMF reached 16 nT at 01/1156Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 01/1228Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2587 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (02 Apr), quiet to active levels on day two (03 Apr) and unsettled to active levels on day three (04 Apr). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (02 Apr, 03 Apr, 04 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Apr to 04 Apr
Class M55%55%55%
Class X15%15%15%
Proton10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Apr 142
  Predicted   02 Apr-04 Apr 145/140/135
  90 Day Mean        01 Apr 138

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 31 Mar  008/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Apr  011/014
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr  014/022-015/018-015/021

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Apr to 04 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active40%40%35%
Minor storm35%20%15%
Major-severe storm10%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%10%
Minor storm25%25%20%
Major-severe storm70%60%45%

All times in UTC

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