Viewing archive of Saturday, 11 April 2026

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Apr 11 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 101 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Apr 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (12 Apr, 13 Apr, 14 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 653 km/s at 10/2158Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 11/0531Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 11/0509Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1081 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (12 Apr, 14 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (13 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 12 Apr to 14 Apr
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       11 Apr 093
  Predicted   12 Apr-14 Apr 095/095/090
  90 Day Mean        11 Apr 136

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 10 Apr  016/018
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 11 Apr  015/019
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 12 Apr-14 Apr  010/012-008/008-009/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Apr to 14 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%15%35%
Minor storm15%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm30%25%30%
Major-severe storm45%25%45%

All times in UTC

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