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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Jun 06 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 157 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jun 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (07 Jun, 08 Jun, 09 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 708 km/s at 05/2252Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 05/2206Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 05/2228Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1284 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (07 Jun), quiet to severe storm levels on day two (08 Jun) and unsettled to major storm levels on day three (09 Jun). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (07 Jun), have a chance of crossing threshold on day two (08 Jun) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (09 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Jun to 09 Jun
Class M55%55%55%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton15%25%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Jun 138
  Predicted   07 Jun-09 Jun 140/138/136
  90 Day Mean        06 Jun 125

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jun  024/036
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Jun  017/021
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Jun-09 Jun  010/010-028/052-026/038

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jun to 09 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%25%
Minor storm05%35%35%
Major-severe storm01%50%30%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%05%05%
Minor storm30%10%15%
Major-severe storm20%85%79%

All times in UTC

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