Viewing archive of Saturday, 13 June 2026

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Jun 13 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 164 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (14 Jun, 15 Jun, 16 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 607 km/s at 13/1559Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 13/1028Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 13/1019Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1519 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (14 Jun) and quiet to active levels on days two and three (15 Jun, 16 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 14 Jun to 16 Jun
Class M20%20%20%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       13 Jun 122
  Predicted   14 Jun-16 Jun 122/120/118
  90 Day Mean        13 Jun 126

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun  013/016
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 13 Jun  017/020
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun  012/015-010/012-010/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun to 16 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active35%30%30%
Minor storm30%15%15%
Major-severe storm10%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%15%15%
Minor storm20%25%25%
Major-severe storm60%40%40%

All times in UTC

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