Viewing archive of Friday, 26 June 2026

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Jun 26 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 177 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jun 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (27 Jun, 28 Jun, 29 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 656 km/s at 26/1743Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 26/0745Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 26/1448Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1636 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (27 Jun, 28 Jun) and quiet levels on day three (29 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 27 Jun to 29 Jun
Class M50%50%50%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Jun 163
  Predicted   27 Jun-29 Jun 157/158/160
  90 Day Mean        26 Jun 126

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jun  029/025
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Jun  009/011
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun  011/012-012/015-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jun to 29 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active35%35%10%
Minor storm20%20%01%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%15%
Minor storm30%30%20%
Major-severe storm50%50%10%

All times in UTC

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Last X-flare2026/06/03X1.0
Last M-flare2026/06/21M6.9
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