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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2026 Jun 28 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 179 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Jun 2026

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (29 Jun, 30 Jun, 01 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 544 km/s at 28/0138Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2637 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on days one and two (29 Jun, 30 Jun) and quiet to active levels on day three (01 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 29 Jun to 01 Jul
Class M50%50%50%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 Jun 186
  Predicted   29 Jun-01 Jul 175/180/175
  90 Day Mean        28 Jun 127

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 27 Jun  008/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 28 Jun  009/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 29 Jun-01 Jul  008/010-018/025-011/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Jun to 01 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%45%35%
Minor storm25%30%20%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%05%10%
Minor storm20%30%25%
Major-severe storm55%65%55%

All times in UTC

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Last X-flare2026/06/03X1.0
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