Viendo archivo del martes, 12 junio 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jun 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 164 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jun 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was low. Regions 1506 (N11E38), 1504
(S17E28), and 1507 (S27E02) were the most active regions on the
disk. Each region was responsible for multiple C-flares during the
period. The largest of these came from Region 1506 which produced a
C2 flare at 12/0315Z. All three of these regions have shown signs
of growth. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the
period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. There is a chance for an isolated M-class event from
Region 1504.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Minor
storm levels were reached from 11/2100Z to 12/0300Z. This was
followed by an active period from 12/0300Z to 12/0600Z. Solar wind
observations indicated a sustained interval of negative Bz from
11/1500Z to 12/0200Z with peak values around -10nT. In addition,
the data indicated a solar sector boundary crossing starting late on
the 11th.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (June 13). Quiet levels
are expected for 14-15 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jun a 15 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jun 141 Previsto 13 Jun-15 Jun 140/135/135 Media de 90 Días 12 Jun 117
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jun 011/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jun 014/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun 006/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jun a 15 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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