Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 septiembre 2022
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2022 Sep 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 267 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Sep 2022IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C7 event observed at
24/1607Z from Region 3107 (S25E28). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 Sep, 26 Sep,
27 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 512 km/s at 24/1407Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 23/2129Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
23/2140Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 838 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (25 Sep) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (26 Sep, 27 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Sep 147 Previsto 25 Sep-27 Sep 148/152/155 Media de 90 Días 24 Sep 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Sep 012/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 015/019 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep 011/015-009/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 20/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| noviembre 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| diciembre 2025 | 118.5 +26.7 |
| Last 30 days | 108.7 +20.4 |